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Spaghetti Scenarios · Transcendence trajectory

Education and human development

That every person can learn, understand the world and develop their potential. It is the foundation of the other trajectories: without education there is no science, cooperation or resilience.

Almost 9 out of 10 adults can read. But 7 out of 10 ten-year-olds in low- and middle-income countries cannot understand a simple text.

Adult literacy

87.7%

of the world's adults can read and write (2024). There are still 739 million who cannot.

▲ In 1990 it was 74.6%

Out of school

273 M

children and young people do not go to school (2024).

▼ Fell 33% until 2015; since then it has risen 3%

Learning poverty

70%

of ten-year-olds in low- and middle-income countries cannot read and understand a simple text (2022).

▼ Before the pandemic it was 57%

Human development

0.756

is the global Human Development Index (2023), on a scale from 0 to 1.

■ The smallest gain since 1990 (excluding crisis years)

Learning to read: the world over forty years

Percentage of people who can read and write. Move the slider to see each year.

50%60%70%80%90%100%1985199520052015202493.1%87.7%
  • Young people aged 15 to 2493.1%in 2024
  • Adults (15 and older)87.7%in 2024

The axis starts at 50% so the change is visible.

Learning poverty

70 out of 100 ten-year-olds in low- and middle-income countries cannot read and understand a simple text. Before the pandemic it was 57.

Finishing school

Percentage of young people who complete each level (2024). The white mark is where the world was in 2000.

Primary88%
In 2000: 77%
Lower secondary78%
In 2000: 60%
Upper secondary61%
In 2000: 37%. At the current pace, reaching 95% would take about 80 years.

Global Human Development Index

Combines health, education and income on a scale from 0 to 1.

0.50.60.70.819902000201020230.756
  • Global HDI0.756in 2023

No progress in 2020 and 2021: the pandemic years.

Who is out of school (2024)

79 Mof primary school age
64 Mof lower secondary age
130 Mof upper secondary age
273 Min total

Semiversal education: where we stand today

0%not yet started
100%goal

Education and human development

Probability
Uncertain
Timeframe
Not available
Confidence
Medium

Signals to watch

Proposed by the research: the profile does not define its signals yet.

  • Adult literacy
  • Out of school
  • Learning poverty
  • Human development

Possible human action

Not available yet for this scenario.